Global cotton production is forecast to decline by about 4% to 24.8 million tonnes in the 2026/27 season, while global consumption is expected to remain stable at around 25 million tonnes, according to the International Cotton Advisory Committee.
Global Cotton Production Forecast for 2026/27
Lower cotton prices, shifting planting intentions in major producing countries, and weaker demand — particularly from China — are contributing to the projected reduction in output. With production currently exceeding consumption in 2025/26, the anticipated decline next season could bring global supply and demand closer to balance.
Weak Demand from China
China is expected to remain the world’s largest producer and consumer of cotton, though its use of cotton is projected to decline modestly as manmade fibers gain market share. India, Brazil, and the United States continue to play central roles in global supply, while Bangladesh and Vietnam remain key drivers of import demand.
India, Brazil and the United States Production Outlook
World cotton lint trade in 2026/27 is projected at 9.6 million tonnes. Brazil is expected to remain the world’s largest exporter, followed by the United States and other major exporting regions.
Recent trade policy developments — including new U.S. tariff measures and updated trade agreements involving Bangladesh, India, and the European Union — introduce additional uncertainty into the global cotton market. The full implications of these measures will depend on implementation and market response.
For the most current statistics, please refer to the ICAC’s Statistics Portal. It is updated continuously, and new information is reflected immediately, making it a valuable resource throughout the month.
FAQ
Why is global cotton production expected to decline in 2026/27?
Lower cotton prices, changes in planting intentions in major producing countries, and weaker demand—especially from China—are contributing to the expected decline in global cotton output.
Which countries produce the most cotton?
The largest cotton producers include China, India, Brazil, and the United States, which together account for a significant share of global cotton supply.
What is the global cotton trade forecast for 2026/27?
World cotton lint trade is projected to reach about 9.6 million tonnes, with Brazil expected to remain the largest exporter followed by the United States.
Is cotton consumption expected to change in 2026/27?
Global cotton consumption is projected to remain relatively stable at around 25 million tonnes despite growing competition from manmade fibers.
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